Special Issue on Mathematics and Complexity of Multi-Particle SystemsNo Access

EVOLUTIONARY DYNAMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE UNDER COLLECTIVE-RISK DILEMMAS

Departamento de Informática & Centria, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, 2829-516 Caparica, Portugal

ATP-Group, Centro de Matemática e Aplicações Fundamentais, Instituto para a Investigação Interdisciplinar, P-1649-003 Lisboa Codex, Portugal

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VÍTOR V. VASCONCELOS

ATP-Group, Centro de Matemática e Aplicações Fundamentais, Instituto para a Investigação Interdisciplinar, P-1649-003 Lisboa Codex, Portugal

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MARTA D. SANTOS

ATP-Group, Centro de Matemática e Aplicações Fundamentais, Instituto para a Investigação Interdisciplinar, P-1649-003 Lisboa Codex, Portugal

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P. N. B. NEVES

ATP-Group, Centro de Matemática e Aplicações Fundamentais, Instituto para a Investigação Interdisciplinar, P-1649-003 Lisboa Codex, Portugal

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, and

JORGE M. PACHECO

Departamento de Matemática e Aplicações, Universidade do Minho, 4710-057 Braga, Portugal

ATP-Group, Centro de Matemática e Aplicações Fundamentais, Instituto para a Investigação Interdisciplinar, P-1649-003 Lisboa Codex, Portugal

Corresponding author.

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https://doi.org/10.1142/S0218202511400045Cited by:46 (Source: Crossref)

Abstract

Preventing global warming requires overall cooperation. Contributions will depend on the risk of future losses, which plays a key role in decision-making. Here, we discuss an evolutionary game theoretical model in which decisions within small groups under high risk and stringent requirements toward success significantly raise the chances of coordinating to save the planet's climate, thus escaping the tragedy of the commons. We discuss both deterministic dynamics in infinite populations, and stochastic dynamics in finite populations.

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