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https://doi.org/10.1162/ADEV_x_00088Cited by:0 (Source: Crossref)

“Population Aging and Potential Growth in Asia”

by Keisuke Otsu and Katsuyuki Shibayama

Volume 33, Issue Number 2, pp. 56–73

1.

The printed article contains inaccurate quantitative results due to a computational error. The corrections are indicated below in bold italics:

Page 71, paragraph 1“The model without demographic effects predicts an average annual growth rate of 2.5%, while the benchmark model predicts an average annual growth rate of 2.3%. The demographic effect through government consumption increases the average annual growth rate by 0.06 percentage points. The demographic effect through the labor income tax and productivity reduces the average annual growth rate by 0.41 percentage points and 0.40 percentage points, respectively. The model with all channels included reduces the growth rate by 0.71 percentage points.”

Page 72, paragraph 2“Overall, the population aging effect will dominate, reducing the average annual economic growth rate by 0.21 percentage points below its potential.”

2.

The corresponding Table 3 and Figures 5a5f are corrected as follows. In addition, the order of Figures 5c, 5d, and 5e in the printed article is incorrect. We have corrected the order below.

Corrected Table 3

Table 3.  Average Annual GDP Per Adult Growth Rates

ModelGrowth RateDifference from Benchmark (percentage points)
No Demographic Effects2.50%0.21%
Benchmark2.29%
with Government Consumption2.35%0.06%
with Labor Income Tax1.88%−0.41%
with Productivity1.89%−0.40%
with All Channels1.58%−0.71%

GDP = gross domestic product.

Source: Authors’ calculations.

Corrected Figures 5a5f

Figure 5a.

Figure 5a. The Benchmark Model

Figure 5b.

Figure 5b. Demographic Effects

Figure 5c.

Figure 5c. Model with Demographic Effect on Government Consumption

Figure 5d.

Figure 5d. Model with Demographic Effect on Labor Income Tax

Figure 5e.

Figure 5e. Model with Demographic Effect on Productivity

Figure 5f.

Figure 5f. Full Model