15: Being Creative Part 2: Practice of Having a Prescient View

The following sections are included:

• Accelerated Change is the Only Option

• Segment 1: Aphorisms and Caveats

  • Introduction: Four Aphorisms and a Well-Imagined Future

  • Known and Knowable: Predictions and Anticipation

  • Avoiding Complacency: Three Caveats and a Call to Action (see Figure 2)

• Segment 2: Art of the Long View

  • Art of the Long View: Helping the Expert Mind

  • What-if Thinking: Changing Lenses to See the "Real" Problem

  • Outside-in Orientation: Environment and Focal Issue

• Segment 3: Identifying Emerging Patterns

  • Creativity and Complexity: "Rule-Books" for an Unorderly World?

• Segment 4: Antidote to the Unexpected

  • The Unexpected — A Simple Sequence

  • The Anatomy of Surprise

  • Multiple Perspectives — Elephants and SUVs

  • Conclusion