MODELING OF LONG-TERM TIME SERIES OF WAVE AND WIND — CASE STUDY AT JOETSU COAST

In the design of sand control facilities and in the assessment of beach erosion due to global climate change, long-term morphological changes should be estimated and evaluated. Wave and wind time series are important factors for the estimation of long-term shoreline change. This study proposes a method to model the long-term time series of wave and wind by using observation data, weather and wave prediction models in a physical sense and the Monte Carlo method in a statistical sense.