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  • articleNo Access

    THE INDONESIAN ECONOMY: GROWTH, CRISIS AND RECOVERY

    Indonesia, Southeast Asia's most populous state and its largest economy, was deeply affected by the economic crisis of 1997–1998. Its economic contraction in 1998, of over 13%, was the sharpest among all four crisis-affected East Asian economies. This followed three decades of virtually uninterrupted, rapid economic growth. The country's economic crisis was accompanied by regime collapse, resulting in the departure of then President Suharto after 32 years of authoritarian rule. This paper examines the country's socioeconomic development in the decade since the crisis, in the context of the earlier growth, and the very different institutions of economic governance operating under the new democratic regime of weakened central authority and many more economic policy actors. The main conclusions are that growth and macroeconomic stability have been restored surprisingly quickly, but that microeconomic policy and the investment climate are less predictable.

  • articleNo Access

    THE RISK OF PROPERTY BUBBLES IN HONG KONG AND SINGAPORE: ANOTHER AFTERSHOCK CRISIS OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL TSUNAMI?

    This paper first provides a brief review of the global financial tsunami. It then explains why the quantitative easing in the US and the unique characteristics of the Asian property markets have contributed to the formation of property bubbles in some Asian economies. Thereafter, it discusses the possibility of a bursting of property bubbles in Hong Kong, Singapore or another Asian economy a few years from now, and highlights that the bursting of the property bubble in that economy could trigger severe corrections of property prices in this region through the contagion effect. After pointing out that the implied crisis could be more severe than that during the Asian Financial Crisis, it (i) discusses policies that could mitigate the damages of the potential crisis and (ii) draws important lessons and conclusions that could pre-empt similar disasters in the future.

  • articleNo Access

    THE PROGRESSIVE RIFT OF THE EUROZONE: RISKS AND REMEDIES

    Due to rigid rules, incomplete institutions and concentration on short-run fiscal discipline, economic and institutional diversity and insufficient reforms caused the progressive segmentation of the Eurozone. Insufficient integration process is due to lack of trust among member countries and the need to keep a hard budget constraint of national budgets to avoid uncontrolled inflationary pressure and moral hazard. Although understandable in the short run, this situation is causing serious economic and social costs and damages to the development of vulnerable countries. The paper enquires possible solutions to this dangerous stalemate, that could also provide useful suggestions for other countries.

  • articleNo Access

    The Effects of Foreign Bank Entry on the Thai Banking Market: Empirical Analysis from 1990 to 2002

    This paper investigates the impact of foreign bank entry on Thai domestic banks by using panel data on 17 domestic commercial banks from 1990 to 2002. The study examines different factors affecting bank performance, including changes in the foreign ownership of banks, financial regulations, and market structure. The results show that an increase in the presence of foreign banks has led to a rise in overhead expenses, a decline in profits, and an increase in the interest spreads of domestic banks. In the short run, increased competition from foreign banks seems to have negative effects on domestic banks.

  • articleNo Access

    Are Derivatives Implicated in the Recent Financial Crisis? Evidence from Banks in Emerging Countries

    This work aims to inspect the common debate about the implication of derivative instruments in amplifying the last financial crisis. To reach this goal, the study chooses a sample of banks entirely from emerging countries — over the whole period 2003–2011 — in which we examine the impact of derivatives simultaneously on performance, risk and stability during the ordinary period “the pre-crisis period”, 2003–2006, and the unstable period “the crisis and post crisis period”, 2007–2011. The regressions are estimated by generalized methods of moments (GMM) as developed by Blundell and Bond (1998). The major conclusion reveals that only swaps can be considered as implicated in the intensification of the last financial crisis. Therefore, the rest of derivatives instruments cannot be responsible in the amplification of the recent financial crisis. Indeed, the widespread idea accusing all derivatives to be in part responsible of the intensification of the last financial crisis should be revised.

  • articleNo Access

    Risk-Reward Trade-Off and Volatility Performance of Islamic Versus Conventional Stock Indices: Global Evidence

    In this paper, we compare the performance of Islamic stock indices (ISI) and conventional stock indices (CSI) from FTSE, DJ, MSCI, S&Ps and Jakarta series using common risk-return metrics. The sample consists of 64 ISI and CSI, and covers the period from 2002 to 2017. The majority of the stock indices are from the Pacific Rim countries’ stock markets. Additionally, we employ the GARCH-M model to examine the impact of past volatility on spot returns. Findings suggest that the ISI are less sensitive to the average market movements compared to the CSI, but surprisingly offer similar raw returns suggesting primary support for the low risk-high return paradox. On further examination, results reveal that M2, Omega, Sharpe and Treynor measures indicate that ISI underperform CSI while Jensen’s alpha and Sortino ratio put ISI ahead of CSI. Moreover, findings show that pre-crisis winners (CSI) were losers during the 2008 crisis but subsequently recovered and ended up with higher returns than ISI. Findings also show that the previous volatility of stock returns can be potentially used for predicting future returns.

  • articleNo Access

    POST-MACROECONOMICS: LESSONS FROM THE CRISIS AND STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS AHEAD

    The global crisis has not invalidated everything about macroeconomics. However, it has highlighted some of mistakes of the discipline's dominant intellectual framework. Post-macroeconomic thinking recommended in this paper should not be understood as another metanarrative of the end of metanarratives. The use of the prefix post here suggests and emphasises much more than temporal posterity. Post-macroeconomics should follow from macroeconomics more than it follows after macroeconomics. The theorising of post-macroeconomics is therefore neither systematically oppositional, nor hegemonic. It does not advocate a "dialectic opposition" between macroeconomics and post-macroeconomics. Rather, it suggests that the latter builds on the former and goes beyond it.

  • chapterNo Access

    Chapter 3: Strengthening Resilience and Solidarity in Cooperatives: Pathways for a New Ministry of Cooperation in the Post-COVID-19 Era

    Cooperatives have been given much-needed attention now by the Indian government through forming a separate Ministry of Cooperation. However, a lot has to be done before taking pride in the same. This chapter emphasises on the cooperative model to promote local institution-building in the post-COVID-19 era. Influenced by the institutional theory, the chapter discusses the gaps at the ground level and also provides suggestions to strengthen the cooperative sector in the country. A case is discussed from the successful dairy cooperatives in India that played a significant role in times of the COVID-19 crisis. The findings of the case discuss the interventions of the cooperatives in generating awareness towards safety, solidarity, accountability, providing stability, maintaining the value chain, securing finances, and supporting community welfare even during the time of the pandemic. Through this, the chapter highlights the cooperatives’ abilities in generating inclusive development in the country even during the time of crisis. This chapter is based on the primary information collected through a qualitative research method that includes in-depth interviews with the cooperative members.

  • chapterNo Access

    Chapter 9: Women Entrepreneurs in Lebanon

    This chapter provides an in-depth examination of the entrepreneurial ecosystem in Lebanon, with a specific focus on the pivotal role played by women. Offering both a historical overview and a contemporary reality check, it establishes an overarching framework within which entrepreneurship in Lebanon is comprehensively described and explored. The narrative delves into the emergence and evolution of the ecosystem against the backdrop of a turbulent environment, shedding light on the progressively evolving role of women entrepreneurs. A detailed analysis of the current status of women in Lebanon highlights the challenges and barriers that female entrepreneurs encounter. This chapter also emphasizes the active engagement of women entrepreneurs in various sectors and concludes with an outlook on the future.