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  • articleOpen Access

    AN EFFICIENT HYBRID METHOD TO PREDICT WIND SPEED BASED ON LINEAR REGRESSION AND VMD

    Fractals01 Jan 2023

    To effectively improve the power dispatching, the prediction accuracy of wind power has been the concern of many scholars for many years. The wind power prediction problem is actually equivalent to the wind speed prediction problem. Based on linear regression (LR) and variational mode decomposition (VMD), in this paper, we proposed an efficient hybrid method to predict wind speed. In the proposed method, the VMD is used to decompose the signal of wind speed into several sub-signal. Compared with the original wind-speed series, each sub-signal is a more stable subsequence signal. Then, we used the LR method to predict each subsequence signal. Eventually, we obtain the final prediction results of the original wind speed series merged the forecasting values of all subsequences signal. We selected two data to test our proposed method in our experiment. Compared with several comparison methods, we found that our proposed methods has better prediction performance than other methods from the experimental results.