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  • articleOpen Access

    Impact of Population Aging on Asia’s Future Economic Growth, 2021–2050

    Developing Asia has grown faster than other parts of the world for decades. However, population aging is expected to pose significant headwinds to the region’s future economic growth. We update and enhance the analysis of Park and Shin (2012) to project the impact of population aging on developing Asia’s growth between 2021 and 2050. Our projections indicate that a demographic transition will have a substantial negative effect on the region’s future growth, but the effect varies across economies. Older economies will suffer a demographic tax, whereas younger economies will continue to enjoy a positive but declining demographic dividend.

  • articleOpen Access

    MARKET DRIVEN POWER PLANT INVESTMENT PERSPECTIVES IN EUROPE: CLIMATE POLICY AND TECHNOLOGY SCENARIOS UNTIL 2050 IN THE MODEL EMELIE-ESY

    In the framework of the Energy Modeling Forum 28, we investigate how climate policy regimes affect market developments under different technology availabilities on the European power markets. We use the partial equilibrium model EMELIE-ESY with focus on electricity markets in order to determine how private investors optimize their generation capacity investment and operation over the horizon 2010 to 2050. For the year 2050, the model projects a minor increase of power consumption of 10% under current climate policy, and a balanced pathway for consumption under ambitious climate policy compared to 2010 levels. These results contrast with findings of POLES and PRIMES models that predict strong consumption increases of 44% to 48% by 2050 and claim competitiveness of nuclear power and CCS options. Under ambitious climate policy, our findings correspond with major increases of wholesale electricity market prices and comparatively less pronounced emission price increases, which trigger no investments into Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) and a strongly diminishing share of nuclear energy.

  • articleOpen Access

    PERSONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT BEHAVIOR USING DIGITAL PLATFORMS AND ITS DOMAINS

    Personal Finance Management (PFM) is crucial to control money to ensure that people have a comfortable present as well as secure future. It’s important for every individual to manage his finance digitally in the digital age. This study aims to identify the main dimensions of PFM from literature review and empirically test the impact of its each domain on the overall Digitalized Financial Management Behavior (DFMB). Also, the study verified the psychometric properties of the tool used to measure Personal Financial Management Behavior (PFMB) using digital platforms. The questionnaire was online administrated using Google forms among 388 young adults in the National Capital Territory (NCT) of India. The Kaiser–Meyer–Olkin (KMO) test of sampling adequacy and Bartlett’s test, linearity assessment, data screening were done in International Business Machines Statistical Package for Social Sciences (IBM SPSS). Factor analysis was done for unidimensionality assessment, bootstrapping (5000 resamples), and reliability and validity statistics in SmartPLS. The study identified six key dimensions of PFM from the existing significant literature and empirically verified the psychometric properties of the instrument in digital context. The resultant instrument includes 25 items under the six constructs. The study found that spending, credit management, saving behavior, personal cash management, investment and insurance are theoretically and empirically important determinants of PFM practices using digital platform therefore more attention need to be paid to these determinants for promoting sound DFMB.

  • articleOpen Access

    Navigating U.S.-China Trade War: Mexico’s Economic Diplomacy in Perspective

    China’s growing involvement in trade and foreign investments across Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) has impacted regional countries’ relations with the United States, the traditionally dominant power. In the case of Mexico, China is expanding its presence in the Mexican economy, which could either strengthen or complicate the Mexico-U.S. relationship. The paper aims to examine the impact of China’s role in the Mexican economy within the framework of Mexico-U.S. Ties and the U.S.-China trade war. It argues that the trade war augments Mexico’s participation in the U.S. market through the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). The empirical analysis demonstrates that Mexico has leveraged the U.S.-China trade war under the new rules established by the USMCA. The new rules of origin and labor provisions give Mexico a greater advantage in accessing the U.S. market and enhance the country’s appeal to foreign companies for nearshoring, despite the asymmetrical nature of Mexico-U.S. relations. Meanwhile, rather than hindering Mexico-China trade, the prohibition stipulated in the USMCA against signing a trade agreement with a non-market economy has helped expand trade links between the two countries.

  • articleOpen Access

    Numerical computation of Gerber–Shiu function for insurance surplus process with additional investment

    This paper studies the Gerber–Shiu function for the insurance surplus process with additional investment under the Bachelier model. The Gerber–Shiu function allows us to study the moments of the time of ruin, which is the first time that the surplus is negative. First, we use the martingale theory in deriving the integro-differential equation of the Gerber–Shiu function. Then, we give the exact solution of the ruin probability in case the amount of claims follows the exponential distribution. Under a general distribution case, we propose a numerical method of the Gerber–Shiu function using the finite differential method based on the integro-differential equation. Then, numeric illustrations are provided to study the effect of the parameters on the Gerber–Shiu function.

  • articleOpen Access

    Taiwan — A Potential Economic Partner of South Asia

    Taiwan is a major hub of the global supply chains and one of the leading investors not only in China but also in other Southeast Asian markets. Although high trade complementary, bilateral trade between South Asia and Taiwan is only about US$ 9 billion, investment has only picked up recently. The computable general equilibrium (CGE) analysis indicates a substantial economic benefit of bilateral tariffs elimination between Taiwan and its South Asian partners. Taiwan has a substantial comparative advantage in producing high tech manufacturing goods while in South Asian’s main strength is in the resource-based agricultural and light manufacturing sector. Taiwan has been maintained a liberalized trade regime with minimal import tariffs and non-tariff measures (NTM) over the decades. As South Asia is booming, and Taiwan is seeking alternative markets and investments opportunities, it is time to deepen a bilateral economic relationship. South Asia is a market of 1.5 billion people with an emerging middle class along with substantial cheaper labor forces, made an ideal place for investment. A comprehensive economic partnership agreement (CEPA) with a preferential trade and investment agreement would be useful to attract Taiwanese multinationals and seamless trade between South Asia and Taiwan.

  • articleOpen Access

    South Korea’s Economic Security: Prospects for Greater Cooperation with India

    The economic security of middle powers across the world is being challenged by great power rivalry and, more recently, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. One of the largest trade and investment countries globally, South Korea is amongst the middle powers most affected by these developments. In this context, South Korea needs to finetune its economic security strategy. One way of doing so is by diversifying its economic relations. In this respect, India, a fellow middle power and also one of the biggest economies in the world, is a key partner. Supply chains, trade, investment and human capital have all been benefiting from strengthening links between South Korea and India, and will be key moving forward as the former seeks to further boost its economic security. Indeed, South Korea and India have been strengthening their links in the intertwined areas of maritime security, cyber security, and economic security in recent years. This suggests that economic security is part of broader security cooperation between the two partners.

  • articleOpen Access

    India–Korea Trade and Investment Relations: An Appraisal of Past Progress and Future Prospects

    India and the Republic of Korea (RoK) are, respectively, the second and sixth largest economies of Asia with significant trade ties since the historic past. India is currently negotiating to upgrade the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) with the RoK, which was operationalized on January 1, 2010. A key area of concern for India has been its increasing trade deficit with the RoK which has more than doubled since 2009–10. This paper aims to analyze the flow of goods, services and investment between the two sides in major sectors of interest in the last decade. Further, it aims to identify barriers to trade and investment for the Indian exporters and areas of improvement in the CEPA and beyond to enhance economic gains for both sides.