World Scientific
Skip main navigation

Cookies Notification

We use cookies on this site to enhance your user experience. By continuing to browse the site, you consent to the use of our cookies. Learn More
×

System Upgrade on Tue, May 28th, 2024 at 2am (EDT)

Existing users will be able to log into the site and access content. However, E-commerce and registration of new users may not be available for up to 12 hours.
For online purchase, please visit us again. Contact us at customercare@wspc.com for any enquiries.
No Access

Will the Sun Rise Again?

    https://doi.org/10.1142/9789812567130_0001Cited by:1 (Source: Crossref)
    Previous
    Next
    Abstract:

    If the Sun has risen on n successive days, what is the PROBABILITY that it will rise on the next day?

    Laplace gave the answer: For n = 1, this is . Since he assumes that it is “equally likely” that the Sun rises or not on each day, how come the answer is not ½?…