Research PaperNo Access

Estimation of the number of affected people due to the Covid-19 pandemic using susceptible, infected and recover model

Md. Enamul Hoque

Department of Physics, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet — 3114, Bangladesh

https://doi.org/10.1142/S0129183120501119Cited by:6 (Source: Crossref)

Abstract

The Susceptible, Infected and Recover (SIR) model is a very simple model to estimate the dynamics of an epidemic. In the current pandemic due to Covid-19, the SIR model has been used to estimate the dynamics of infection for various infected countries. Numerical solutions are used to obtain the value of parameters for the SIR model. The maximum and minimum basic reproduction number (14.5 and 2.3) are predicted to be in Turkey and China, respectively.

Keywords:

PACS Nos.: 87.19.X, 89.65.Cd

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