Narrow Results

We describe a new model to simulate the dynamic interactions between market price and the decisions of two different kind of traders. They possess spatial mobility allowing to group together to form coalitions. Each coalition follows a strategy chosen from a proportional voting "dominated" by a leader's decision. The interplay of both kind of agents gives rise to complex price dynamics that is consistent with the main stylized facts of financial time series. The present model incorporates many features of other known models and is meant to be the first step toward the construction of an agent-based model that uses more realistic markets rules, strategies, and information structures.

In Ref. 1, a new model for the description of the financial markets dynamics has been proposed. Traders move on a two dimensional lattice and interact by means of mechanisms of mutual influence. In the present paper, we present results from large-scale simulations of the same model enhanced by the introduction of rational traders modeled as moving-averages followers. The dynamics now accounts for log-normal distribution of volatility which is consistent with some observation of real financial indexes⁷ at least for the central part of the distribution.