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In this paper, we study the Kelly criterion in the continuous time framework building on the work of E.O. Thorp and others. The existence of an optimal strategy is proven in a general setting and the corresponding optimal wealth process is found. A simple formula is provided for calculating the optimal portfolio in terms of drift, short term risk-free rate and correlations for a set of generic multi-dimensional diffusion processes satisfying some simple conditions. Properties of the optimal investment strategy are studied. The paper ends with a short discussion of the implications of these ideas for financial markets.
In general it is not clear which kind of information is supposed to be used for calculating the fair value of a contingent claim. Even if the information is specified, it is not guaranteed that the fair value is uniquely determined by the given information. A further problem is that asset prices are typically expressed in terms of a risk-neutral measure. This makes it difficult to transfer the fundamental results of financial mathematics to econometrics. I show that the aforementioned problems evaporate if the financial market is complete and sensitive. In this case, after an appropriate choice of the numéraire, the discounted price processes turn out to be uniformly integrable martingales under the real-world measure. This leads to a Law of One Price and a simple real-world valuation formula in a model-independent framework where the number of assets as well as the lifetime of the market can be finite or infinite.
The main purpose of this paper is to develop Gaussian white noise theory which is applied to a unified approach to stochastic calculus derived by several Gaussian Brownian motion containing fractional Brownian motion and generalized Brownian motion. As an application we study a simple model of financial market (Gaussian Black-Scholes market) derived by Gaussian Brownian motion which is no arbitrage and complete.
In this paper, we study the Kelly criterion in the continuous time framework building on the work of E.O. Thorp and others. The existence of an optimal strategy is proven in a general setting and the corresponding optimal wealth process is found. A simple formula is provided for calculating the optimal portfolio for a set of price processes satisfying some simple conditions. Properties of the optimal investment strategy for assets governed by multiple Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes are studied. The paper ends with a short discussion of the implications of these ideas for financial markets.