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  • articleNo Access

    DO THE INCOME AND PRICE CHANGES AFFECT CONSUMPTION IN THE EMERGING 7 COUNTRIES? EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE USING QUANTILE ARDL MODEL

    Various empirical studies have been conducted. However, these studies fail to examine the asymmetric effect of income and price across different quantiles of consumption in the emerging 7 countries. This study extends the existing literature using a novel approach called the quantile ARDL model along with the standard nonlinear ARDL model. Findings based on the nonlinear ARDL model indicate that positive shocks in income positively and significantly affect consumption in the short- and long-run. On the other hand, negative shocks in income do not significantly affect consumption which, therefore, suggests an asymmetric effect of income on consumption. In addition, the quantile ARDL estimates indicate that income positively affects consumption across all quantiles of the consumption except the 95th quantile. Moreover, the quantile ARDL estimates indicate that price variations negatively affect consumption across all emerging 7 countries. These estimates suggest that devising policies without considering the asymmetric effect may lead to unfavorable consequences.

  • articleNo Access

    Consumption Optimization in G7 Countries: Evidence of Heterogeneous Asymmetry in Income and Price Differentials

    The lack of comprehensive empirical narratives about the effects of income and price differentials, as well as possible distributional asymmetries on consumption in G7 countries, compelled this study by using both ARDL and Quantile ARDL models. NARDL results indicate that positive shocks in income have significant and positive effects on consumption in all countries. Moreover, evidence from the Quantile ARDL model indicates that positive and significant impacts were momentary except at the 95th quantile of consumption distributions in Canada. Furthermore, price variations negatively affected consumption in all G7 countries and across all distributions, with evidence of panic buying in Italy, the US and at the 5th quantile in Japan. Meanwhile, there is evidence of asymmetric effects from income and price variations on consumption in all G7 countries, whereas the influence of income variations on consumption is heterogeneous in Canada. Moreover, the asymmetric effects of price differentials were consistent across all the distributions in all the countries. Overall, to ensure consumption optimization and by extension, economic growth, differentiated policies to respond to income and price variations at all times are of the essence.

  • articleNo Access

    URBANIZATION AND RURAL–URBAN CONSUMPTION DISPARITY: EVIDENCE FROM CHINA

    The objective of this paper is to investigate the impacts of urbanization on influencing the rural–urban consumption disparity in China, a research gap which has not been bridged so far. Adopting a provincial dataset from 1997 to 2014, a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator is employed to reveal the impact of urbanization on the ratio of per capita consumption expenditure of the urban households to the rural households, along with other socioeconomic variables. Empirical results show salient relationship between increasing urbanization ratio and declining rural–urban inequality. Significant impact of education costs on increasing the rural–urban inequality is also observed. Other factors that increase the disparity include foreign investment and gross regional product (GRP) indices. Industrial structure, costs of housing and health care are insignificant factors. The results of this study help in understanding China’s new urbanization development strategy in a better way.

  • articleNo Access

    OPTIMAL CONSUMPTION AND INVESTMENT IN INCOMPLETE MARKETS WITH GENERAL CONSTRAINTS

    We study an optimal consumption and investment problem in a possibly incomplete market with general, not necessarily convex, stochastic constraints. We provide explicit solutions for investors with exponential, logarithmic as well as power utility and show that they are unique if the constraints are convex. Our approach is based on martingale methods that rely on results on the existence and uniqueness of solutions to BSDEs with drivers of quadratic growth.

  • articleNo Access

    THE IMPACT OF THE GOODS AND SERVICES TAX (GST) IN MALAYSIA: LESSONS FROM EXPERIENCES ELSEWHERE (A NOTE)

    The recent Malaysian attempt to introduce the Goods and Services Tax (GST) was thwarted by public concerns about: (i) its impact on the price level; (ii) its regressivity; (iii) the possibility of the rate increases once the tax is in place; and finally, the disincentive large revenues from the GST would be in addressing the underlying causes of wasteful public expenditures and leakages. The experiences of countries that have implemented a similar tax are surveyed to assess these concerns. It is concluded that within the Malaysian context, all the concerns are well-founded and measures are therefore suggested to ameliorate them.

  • articleNo Access

    FOUR DECADES OF POVERTY AND CONSUMPTION IN CHINA

    Since 2010, China’s miraculous growth has come to a halt and has shown steady deceleration. To re-accelerate economic growth, stimulating domestic consumption is a crucial way with fighting poverty as the key step. This paper attempts to explore the impact of poverty on resident consumption in China over the last four decades. Based on provincial data, we first simulate income distribution at the individual level and provide moderate poverty profiles at the provincial level. The empirical analyses are then conducted to gauge the poverty impacts using the estimated poverty index. Results show that (1) moderate poverty has decreased sharply in China, with the best achievement in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong; (2) moderate poverty exerts a significantly negative impact on resident consumption; and (3) when poverty increases, resident consumption on household equipment decreases the most, while resident consumption on food, transportation, and telecommunication decreases the least.

  • chapterNo Access

    OPTIMAL CONSUMPTION AND PORTFOLIO IN A MARKET WHERE THE VOLATILITY IS DRIVEN BY FRACTIONAL BROWNIAN MOTION

    This paper deals with the problem of optimal consumption and portfolio for a generalized Black and Scholes market where the volatility is driven by a standard Brownian motion and by a fractional Brownian motion in the same time.

  • articleNo Access

    DOES LAND EXPROPRIATION INCREASE HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION AND SAVINGS RATE? EVIDENCE FROM RURAL CHINA

    This paper estimates how land expropriation affects household consumption and savings rate using a nationally representative household data from China. We argue that land expropriation is likely to be random across households within the same village. We find that land expropriation has positive and statistically significant effects on per capita household consumption and savings rate. The effects on consumption of durable goods and on savings rate, however, weaken and become insignificant over time.

  • articleNo Access

    EMPIRICAL REGULARITIES IN DISTRIBUTIONS OF INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE

    We empirically investigate distributions of individual consumption expenditure for four commodity categories conditional on fixed income levels. The data stems from the Family Expenditure Survey carried out annually in the United Kingdom. We use graphical techniques to test for normality and lognormality of these distributions. While prevailing economic theory does not predict any structure for these distributions, we find that in at least three commodity categories individual consumption expenditure conditional on a fixed income level is lognormally distributed.

  • articleNo Access

    The Spillover Effects of Deregulation in a Three-Country Model

    This paper develops a three-country model that incorporates international relocation of firms and explores the macroeconomic effects of deregulation in the services sector by each country. A novel feature of our model is that the international relocation of firms responds to exchange rate movements caused by deregulation shocks in the services sector. From this analysis, it is found that a deregulation shock in a country always benefits the country in spite of the outflows of firms, while it can be detrimental to other two countries, in terms of relative consumption levels.

  • articleNo Access

    Potential Welfare Gains from Optimal Macro Hedging for Oil Exporters

    This paper computes the welfare gains from optimal hedging with futures contracts for an oil-exporting country. Unlike previous studies, this paper derives the welfare gains under a more realistic futures hedging model. This is accomplished by considering basis risk and by relaxing the full-hedging assumption. Furthermore, this is the first paper to derive the welfare gains under optimal hedging strategies. We also incorporate the empirical relationship between spot and futures prices within our models, rather than the theoretical relationship which most studies employ. The models were developed under a dynamic stochastic optimization framework and the optimal consumption and value functions were found using the method of Endogenous Gridpoints. The results showed that the choice of the optimal hedging strategy employed led to a slight improvement in the country’s welfare gains relative to full hedging. We also found that the strategies with the highest welfare gains were the most effective at volatility reduction. Finally, this paper provides compelling evidence for the use of optimal macro futures hedging as an effective risk management tool for oil-exporting developing countries.

  • chapterNo Access

    Chapter 20: Expired Meat, Anyone? Shanghai Husi Food Company Ltd.

    In 2014, Shanghai Husi Food Company Ltd. (Husi) was found guilty of supplying reprocessed and expired meat to their western fast food clients operating all over China. The company lied about production and expiration dates and provided false guarantees about the storage life of their products. Many Western fast food clients such as McDonalds and Starbucks were affected by the scandal. The case discusses the scandal, whistleblowing, and food safety issues in the People’s Republic of China.

  • chapterNo Access

    CHAPTER 1: NATIONAL INCOME AND NATIONAL PRODUCT

      The following sections are included:

      • INTRODUCING MACROECONOMICS
      • MEASURES OF INCOME AND PRODUCTION
      • PROBLEMS IN CALCULATING GDP AND NATIONAL INCOME
      • DIFFICULTIES WHEN COMPARING LIVING STANDARDS
      • CATEGORIES OF THE GDP
      • SUMMARY
      • QUESTIONS
      • APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 1
      • POVERTY AND THE DISTRIBUTION OF NATIONAL INCOME
      • SUMMARY OF APPENDIX
      • QUESTIONS ON APPENDIX
      • CONNECTIONS: ACCOUNTING FOR NATIONAL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE

    • chapterNo Access

      CONSUMPTION AND LEISURE

      Leisure and consumption have become key features of post-Mao China being associated with economic reform, political change and stability, the legitimacy of the Communist Party and notions of modernity and post-modernity in China. This chapter offers an overview of the key characteristics of leisure and consumption in contemporary China with important historical contextualization. It identifies and introduces some of the most common analyses and understandings of consumption in China showing how they are often linked together. The chapter suggests that we need to treat the notion of consumption in China with caution to avoid oversimplification and neglect of the increasing complexity and diversification of Chinese leisure and consumption practices.