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  • articleOpen Access

    Enabling an Innovation Ecosystem and Participation at the Higher End of Global Value Chains

    Moving up the global value chain requires an enabling innovation ecosystem alongside economy-specific endowments, a mix of supportive policies in broad areas of infrastructure and institutions, and other enabling factors. Examining sample economies globally and in developing Asia, the empirical results suggest that during the transition from a low level of upgrading in a global value chain to a medium-level one, efforts should focus on increasing the scale of innovation inputs, allowing firms to improve in many areas of their capacity to innovate. To move higher up a global value chain, the design of innovation policies should gradually emphasize the production of technological, knowledge, and creative outputs.

  • articleOpen Access

    The Employment Effects of Technology, Trade, and Consumption in Global Value Chains: Evidence for Developing Asia

    Global value chains (GVCs) have been a vehicle for job creation in developing Asia, but technology can also displace workers through automation or reshoring of production. We use an input–output approach to examine how employment responded to consumption, trade, and technological progress in 16 economies that accounted for about 95% of employment in developing Asia from 2008 to 2018. Structural decomposition analysis based on the Asian Development Bank’s Multiregional Input–Output database combined with harmonized cross-economy occupation by industry data indicates that, other things being equal, technological change within GVCs and task relocation relate to a decline of routine manual, relative to nonroutine cognitive, occupations in manufacturing. We find no evidence of major shifts in labor demand due to reshoring. Domestic consumption expenditure of goods and services is associated with an increase in labor demand that is large enough to offset efficiency changes in GVCs.

  • articleOpen Access

    Health Capacity to Work among Older Persons in Asia: Key Findings from a Regional Comparative Study

    In responding to the challenge of rapid population aging in Asia, promoting healthy and active aging has become a key policy priority in many countries. There is an opportunity to realize a “silver demographic dividend” by harnessing the potential of healthy and productive older people. This paper presents the findings of a regional comparative study that quantifies the health capacity to work of older persons in seven East Asian and Southeast Asian countries. Along with improvements in the health status of older Asians over time, the additional (or untapped) working capacity of older men aged 55–64 years is estimated to have increased by 0.74 years on average over the past 15 years, with substantial variation across countries, gender, and other individual characteristics. For example, additional work capacity increased by 0.24 years in Japan and Viet Nam during the review period and by 2.24 years in the People’s Republic of China. In contrast, additional work capacity declined by 0.17 years in Indonesia. The proportion of all men aged 60–64 who are not working but are able to do so ranges from 7.8% (Viet Nam) to 21.1% in Figure 8 (Malaysia), with the proportion even higher for men in their late 60s. Older adults with higher levels of education and those living in urban areas generally have greater untapped work capacity. The potential silver demographic dividend, measured by the aggregate untapped work capacity of older workers above retirement age, is significant and has the potential to boost the gross domestic product of many countries in the region.

  • articleOpen Access

    Income and Jobs from Global Value Chain Participation by Developing Asian Economies

    This paper studies participation by developing Asian economies in global value chains (GVCs). We use an input–output framework to measure the impacts that GVCs of final manufactured products have on jobs and income. We combine new occupations data with multiregional input–output tables to examine 15 developing Asian economies from 2000 to 2018. Using an accounting framework, developing Asian economies are compared to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development economies. Our findings show that various developing Asian economies—including Bangladesh, Cambodia, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and Viet Nam—achieved rapid expansions in the scale of their respective production activities. Further, several economies—including the PRC, Thailand, and Viet Nam—increased productivity in knowledge-intensive activities, suggesting functional upgrading within GVCs.

  • articleNo Access

    FINANCIAL INCLUSION, POVERTY, AND INCOME INEQUALITY

    This paper extends the existing literature on financial inclusion by analyzing the factors affecting financial inclusion and assessing the impact of financial inclusion on poverty and income inequality in the world and Asia. We construct a new financial inclusion indicators to assess various macroeconomic and country-specific factors affecting the degree of financial inclusion for 176 economies, including 37 of which from developing Asia. We test the impact of financial inclusion, along with other control variables, on poverty and income inequality. We do so for full sample of countries and then for developing Asia sample to access which factors are relevant for full sample and for developing Asia specifically. The estimation results show that per capita income, rule of law, and demographic characteristics significantly affect financial inclusion for both world and Asia samples. However, primary education completion and literacy significantly increases financial inclusion only in the full sample, not for the Asian sample. The findings also indicate that financial inclusion is significantly correlated with lower poverty and income inequality levels for the full sample. For developing Asia, however, there appears to be no link between financial inclusion and income inequality.

  • articleNo Access

    SOURCES OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FLOWS TO DEVELOPING ASIA: THE IMPORTANCE OF TIME ZONE

    This paper investigates the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) flows to developing Asia using bilateral FDI flows for the period 1990 to 2005. We pay particular attention to possible differences in the determinants of FDI flows to developing Asian economies from the rest of the Asia-Pacific region compared to those from nonregional OECD economies, with an emphasis on the role of distance and time zone. We find that the elasticity of distance is much greater for FDI from the non–Asia-Pacific OECD economies than intraregional Asian flows. However, this difference disappears when one accounts for differences in time zones. The world is not flat; differences in time zones appear to act as a hindrance to FDI.

  • articleOpen Access

    Inequality of Human Opportunities in Developing Asia

    This paper analyzes the equity of opportunity in basic education and infrastructure services in seven developing countries, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Indonesia, Pakistan, the Philippines, Sri Lanka, and Viet Nam. The analysis applies a method developed by the World Bank called the Human Opportunity Index, which measures the total contribution of individual socioeconomic and demographic circumstances to inequality of opportunity in accessing basic services. The new and major contribution of the paper, however, is the development of a methodology that quantifies the relative contribution of each circumstance variable to the inequality of opportunity. This contribution is crucial in identifying which underlying inequalities matter most—which can have important policy implications, for instance, in terms of developing better-targeted interventions. Results of the empirical analysis indicate that more needs to be done to improve the distribution of economic benefits. Opportunities to access basic education and infrastructure services in the seven countries vary widely in terms of availability and distribution. The study also finds that inequality of opportunity is driven mainly by per capita household expenditure. This suggests that household poverty plays a crucial role in determining equitable access to basic services.