Narrow Results

This study examines substitution or complementarity relationships between discretionary loan loss provisions (LLP) and dividend signals. The statistical tests and results presented in this study indicate that bank managers may signal simultaneously with an accounting policy (i.e., discretionary LLP) and a financial policy (i.e., dividend change). This finding primarily points out the possibility that a bank manager with an incentive to mitigate asymmetric information can select multiple signals to maximize signaling effects. Thus, LLP signaling is a complementary (rather than a substitute) signaling device of dividend signaling.

This study examines the association between dual dividend changes and future profitability. A fundamental characteristic of dual dividend payouts is that both components, cash dividends and stock dividends, emit separate dividend signals for subsequent profitability. To analyze dividend signal theories, this study partitions the sample into three sub-samples according to the ratio of cash to stock dividends. Empirical evidence strongly indicates that dual dividend changes are positively associated with future profitability in the balanced dividend subsample. The results of this study are generally robust in terms of accommodating the factors of stock repurchases, investment growth opportunities, and business cycles.