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Multi-dimensional Flight Trajectory Prediction (MFTP) in Flight Operations Quality Assessment (FOQA) refers to the estimation of flight status at the future time, accurate prediction future flight positions, flight attitude and aero-engine monitoring parameters are its goals. Due to differences between flight trajectories and other kinds trajectories and difficult access to data and complex domain knowledge, MFTP in FOQA is much more challenging than Flight Trajectory Prediction (FTP) in Air Traffic Control (ATC) and other trajectory prediction. In this work, a deep Koopman neural operator-based multi-dimensional flight trajectory prediction framework, called Deep Koopman Neural Operator-Based Multi-Dimensional Flight Trajectories Prediction (FlightKoopman), is first proposed to address this challenge. This framework is based on data-driven Koopman theory, enables to construct a prediction model using only data without any prior knowledge, and approximate operator pattern to capture flight maneuver for downstream tasks. The framework recovers the complete state space of the flight dynamics system with Hankle embedding and reconstructs its phase space, and combines a fully connected neural network to generate the observation function of the state space and the approximation matrix of the Koopman operator to obtain an overall model for predicting the evolution. The paper also reveals a virgin dataset Civil Aviation Flight University of China (CAFUC) that could be used for MFTP tasks or other flight trajectory tasks. CAFUC Datasets and code is available at this repository: https://github.com/CAFUC-JJJ/FlightKoopman. Experiments on the real-world dataset demonstrate that FlightKoopman outperforms other baselines.
An experiment was performed to investigate the onset of turbulence in a flat plate boundary layer. The correlation dimension was calculated from the experimental data by means of chaos dynamics and the existence of the strange attractor was shown in the transitional processes. Therefore, the transitional processes to turbulence have been classified by not only the instability theory but also the nonlinear chaotic analysis. The relationship between the correlation dimension and the streamwise positions implies a natural connection between chaos dynamics and the onset of turbulence in a plate boundary layer, so transition is linked to the chaotic motion.
Features of transition from regular types of oscillations to chaos in dynamic systems with finite and infinite dimensionality of phase space have been discussed. It has been found that for some types of nonlinearity, transition to the chaotic motion in these systems occurs according to the identical autoparametric scenario. The sequence of bifurcation phenomena looks as follows: equilibrium state ⇒ limit cycle ⇒ semitorus ⇒ strange attractor. On the basis of the results of numerical simulation a conclusion was made about the typical nature of such a scenario. The results of numerical calculations are confirmed by results of physical experiments carried out on the base of radiophysical self-oscillatory systems.
In this paper, a criteria of suppressing chaos for a kind of nonlinear oscillators is established by the theory of the strange attractor. The oscillators considered include Duffing, van der Pol, Duffing–van der Pol and pendulum. According to this criteria, we analyze the phase effect using two methods, one by adding the second external force term and the other by adding parametric excitation, both of which may be used to suppress chaos in the systems. Some examples are used to illustrate the validity of the criteria and the importance of phase effect in suppressing chaos.
Dynamical systems in the real domain are currently one of the most popular areas of scientific study. A wealth of new phenomena of bifurcations and chaos has been discovered concerning the dynamics of nonlinear systems in real phase space. There is, however, a wide variety of physical problems, which, from a mathematical point of view, can be more conveniently studied using complex variables. The main advantage of introducing complex variables is the reduction of phase space dimensions by a half. In this survey, we shall focus on such classes of autonomous, parametrically excited and modulated systems of complex nonlinear oscillators. We first describe appropriate perturbation approaches, which have been specially adapted to study periodic solutions, their stability and control. The stability analysis of these fundamental periodic solutions, though local by itself, can yield considerable information about more global properties of the dynamics, since it is in the vicinity of such solutions that the largest regions of regular or chaotic motion are observed, depending on whether the periodic solution is, respectively, stable or unstable. We then summarize some recent studies on fixed points, periodic solutions, strange attractors, chaotic behavior and the problem of chaos control in systems of complex oscillators. Some important applications in physics, mechanics and engineering are mentioned. The connection with a class of complex partial differential equations, which contains such famous examples, as the nonlinear Schrödinger and Ginzburg–Landau equations is also discussed. These complex equations play an important role in many branches of physics, e.g. fluids, superconductors, plasma physics, geophysical fluids, modulated optical waves and electromagnetic fields.
We discuss a rather new phenomenon in chaotic dynamics connected with the fact that some three-dimensional diffeomorphisms can possess wild Lorenz-type strange attractors. These attractors persist for open domains in the parameter space. In particular, we report on the existence of such domains for a three-dimensional Hénon map (a simple quadratic map with a constant Jacobian which occurs in a natural way in unfoldings of several types of homoclinic bifurcations). Among other observations, we have evidence that there are different types of Lorenz-like attractor domains in the parameter space of the 3D Hénon map. In all cases the maximal Lyapunov exponent, Λ1, is positive. Concerning the next Lyapunov exponent, Λ2, there are open domains where it is definitely positive, others where it is definitely negative and, finally, domains where it cannot be distinguished numerically from zero (i.e. |Λ2| < ρ, where ρ is some tolerance ranging between 10-5 and 10-6). Furthermore, several other types of interesting attractors have been found in this family of 3D Hénon maps.
The unfolding of a vector field exhibiting a degenerate homoclinic orbit of inclination-flip type is studied. The linear part of the unperturbed system possesses a resonance but the coefficient of the corresponding monomial vanishes. We show that for an open set in the parameter space, the system possesses a suspended cubic Hénon-like map. As a consequence, strange attractors with entropy close to log 3 persist in a positive Lebesgue measure set.
Certain systems present chaotic dynamics when subjected to a regular periodic input. In a study of a nonlinear model of an electromechanical transducer, its dynamic stability is analyzed and it is observed to present chaotic dynamics when a squared signal is introduced as input to the excitor circuit voltage. It is demonstrated that the chaotic movement is due to the periodic modification in the attraction basin of the state space, caused by the input varying in time. Varying the input causes the system to cross saddle type bifurcation values in which points of equilibrium appear and disappear, periodically modifying the qualitative aspects of the system's phase space. This paper describes the deterministic chaos generation by the regular and periodic modification of the properties of the phase space.
Chaos was historically discovered with the Lorenz attractor in 1963. Several artworks, created before that date, by post-war artists such as Fontana, Crippa, Mathieu and Tobey, seem to anticipate forms and shapes typically shown by chaotic systems. In this paper, we juxtapose these masterpieces with some strange attractors of dynamical system theory in a timeline leading to the question whether artists discovered chaos before scientists.
We present in this paper the first example of chaotic evolutionary dynamics in biology. We consider a Lotka–Volterra tritrophic food chain composed of a resource, its consumer, and a predator species, each characterized by a single adaptive phenotypic trait, and we show that for suitable modeling and parameter choices the evolutionary trajectories approach a strange attractor in the three-dimensional trait space. The study is performed through the bifurcation analysis of the so-called canonical equation of Adaptive Dynamics, the most appropriate modeling approach to long-term evolutionary dynamics.
We examine the invariant set of the Newton–Leipnik attractor using the inverse limit of a related function. This is accomplished using a simpler model than that proposed in [LoFaro, 1997b], and we argue that the earlier model is suspect.
For a dynamical system described by a set of autonomous ordinary differential equations, an attractor can be a point, a periodic cycle, or even a strange attractor. Recently, a new chaotic system with only one stable equilibrium was described, which locally converges to the stable equilibrium but is globally chaotic. This paper further shows that for certain parameters, besides the point attractor and chaotic attractor, this system also has a coexisting stable limit cycle, demonstrating that this new system is truly complicated and interesting.
We explore the multifractal, self-similar organization of heteroclinic and homoclinic bifurcations of saddle singularities in the parameter space of the Shimizu–Morioka model that exhibits the Lorenz chaotic attractor. We show that complex transformations that underlie the transitions from the Lorenz attractor to wildly chaotic dynamics are intensified by Shilnikov saddle-foci. These transformations are due to the emergence of Shilnikov flames originating from inclination-switch homoclinic bifurcations of codimension-two. We demonstrate how the original computational technique, based on the symbolic description and kneading invariants, can disclose the complexity and universality of parametric structures and their link with nonlocal bifurcations in this representative model.
We give a qualitative description of two main routes to chaos in three-dimensional maps. We discuss Shilnikov scenario of transition to spiral chaos and a scenario of transition to discrete Lorenz-like and figure-eight strange attractors. The theory is illustrated by numerical analysis of three-dimensional Henon-like maps and Poincaré maps in models of nonholonomic mechanics.
We demonstrate, first in literature, that potential functions can be constructed in a continuous dissipative chaotic system and can be used to reveal its dynamical properties. To attain this aim, a Lorenz-like system is proposed and rigorously proved chaotic for exemplified analysis. We explicitly construct a potential function monotonically decreasing along the system's dynamics, revealing the structure of the chaotic strange attractor. The potential function is not unique for a deterministic system. We also decompose the dynamical system corresponding to a curl-free structure and a divergence-free structure, explaining for the different origins of chaotic attractor and strange attractor. Consequently, reasons for the existence of both chaotic nonstrange attractors and nonchaotic strange attractors are discussed within current decomposition framework.
We provide a multiparameter analysis of dynamics in a nonautonomous system of two alternately exciting self-oscillatory elements that are able to demonstrate a uniformly chaotic attractor of Smale–Williams type in the stroboscopic Poincaré map. Parameter space charts of regular and chaotic regimes are presented. Possible scenarios of the onset of hyperbolic chaos are discussed. The numerical studies are supplemented by experimental results obtained for a laboratory electronic device.
Strange attractors have been extensively studied, but the same is not true for strange repellors. Some time-reversible systems have repellors that mirror their corresponding attractors and that exchange roles when time is reversed. In this paper, a conversion operator is introduced by which an easy transformation can be constructed between such a time-reversible system with an attractor/repellor pair and an irreversible one with a pair of attractors, or vice versa, thus expanding the list of such examples.
Motivated by the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road project, i.e. the Belt and Road (B&R), more goods will flow around the world. With this trading platform, people can buy products at relatively cheap prices, and it is easier for people to buy various goods. The quality and quantity of products thus attract more and more attention in the supply chains. This paper discusses the quantity decision by considering the product quality in parallel supply chains where two manufacturers produce substitute products and then sell them to their downstream retailers separately. In terms of the changing quantity, as well as the different quality, this paper establishes a dynamic game model to explore the dynamic behavior when the optimal profits of two retailers have been calculated. The dynamic behaviors of the system, such as stable region, bifurcation and chaos, strange attractors and the largest Lyapunov exponents (LLE) are analyzed. The effect of the quantity adjustment parameter on the stability of the supply chain system is investigated through numerical simulations. Furthermore, a dynamic game model is established based on the quality delay decision, to investigate the influence of the quality delay parameter on the dynamic game model and the profits. Finally, the optimal decisions are obtained and analyzed.
The paper is devoted to topical issues of modern mathematical theory of dynamical chaos and its applications. At present, it is customary to assume that dynamical chaos in finite-dimensional smooth systems can exist in three different forms. This is dissipative chaos, the mathematical image of which is a strange attractor; conservative chaos, for which the entire phase space is a large “chaotic sea” with randomly spaced elliptical islands inside it; and mixed dynamics, characterized by the principal inseparability in the phase space of attractors, repellers and conservative elements of dynamics. In the present paper (which opens a series of three of our papers), elements of the theory of pseudohyperbolic attractors of multidimensional maps and flows are presented. Such attractors, as well as hyperbolic ones, are genuine strange attractors, but they allow the existence of homoclinic tangencies. We describe two principal phenomenological scenarios for the appearance of pseudohyperbolic attractors in one-parameter families of three-dimensional diffeomorphisms, and also consider some basic examples of concrete systems in which these scenarios occur. We propagandize new methods for studying pseudohyperbolic attractors (in particular, the method of saddle charts, the modified method of Lyapunov diagrams and the so-called LMP-method for verification of pseudohyperbolicity of attractors) and test them on the above examples. We show that Lorenz-like attractors in three-dimensional generalized Hénon maps and in a nonholonomic model of Celtic stone as well as figure-eight attractors in the model of Chaplygin top are genuine (pseudohyperbolic) ones. Besides, we show an example of four-dimensional Lorenz model with a wild spiral attractor of Shilnikov–Turaev type that was found recently in [Gonchenko et al., 2018].
In this paper, a new structure of chaotic systems is proposed. There are many examples of differential equations with analytic solutions. Chaotic systems cannot be studied with the classical methods. However, in this paper we show that a system that has a simple analytical solution can also have a strange attractor. The main goal of this paper is to show examples of chaotic systems with a simple analytical solution that is unstable so that the chaotic orbit does not track it. We believe the structures presented here are new. Two categories of chaotic systems are described, and their dynamical properties are investigated. The proposed systems have analytic solutions that exist far from the equilibrium. Of course, all strange attractors are dense in unstable periodic orbits, but mostly the equations that describe these orbits are unknown and difficult to calculate. The analytical solutions provide examples where the orbits can be calculated despite their instability.