Narrow Results

The study aims to examine the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle in the Indian context during 2002Q2 to 2019Q4 to unearth nonlinear patterns in the data. Findings from an augmented Markov regime-switching model reveal two distinct, yet random regimes for correlations between savings and investment-GDP ratios, with higher correlation between the variables persisting for a longer duration. In the low correlation regime, trade-related factors, policy uncertainty and global shocks have a significant impact on the correlation. Fiscal shocks and trade costs explain high correlations in regime 2, while global shocks act to decrease the correlation in this regime. The high correlation regime dominates the study period and indicates that the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle of limited capital mobility persists in India. Economic agents appear to respond rapidly to changing domestic and global policy conditions, besides being affected by incomplete integration of goods markets, explaining the pattern of correlations.

In recent years, there were many researches on China Free Trade Pilot Zone (FTZ), however, there was still a lack of research on the effect of the FTZ on trade efficiency. To make up for gaps in research, this paper calculated the trade efficiency of 30 provinces in China with stochastic frontier gravity model, and then empirically tested the policy effect of the FTZ by using the propensity score matching and difference in difference (PSM-DID) method, and further analyzed the inherent mechanism. The results showed that China’s general level of trade efficiency was relatively low, while the average trade efficiency in FTZs was significantly higher. The establishment of the FTZ had a significant positive impact on trade efficiency advances. Before and after the establishment of the pilot free trade zone, the difference between the changes in the trade efficiency measurement results of the treated group provinces and the trade efficiency measurement results of the control group provinces showed the characteristics of first increasing and then decreasing, and the policy effect has a certain lag. The establishment of the FTZ significantly reduced the trade cost. The model estimated that the trade efficiency increased by 3.576% for every 1% growth of trade cost, and the policy effect of the FTZ was significantly positive, which verified the existence of the intermediary effect of trade cost.

The expansion of the U.S. corn seed trade is not well understood. This article econometrically investigates world demand for U.S. corn seeds, focusing on trade costs impeding exports, including transportation, tariffs, and sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) regulations. The analysis estimates a derived demand for seed by foreign corn producers using data from 48 countries for the years 1989 to 2004. An SPS count variable captures shifts in the cost of seeds faced by foreign users. A sample selection framework accounts for the large presence of zero trade flows. All trade costs have a significantly negative impact on U.S. com seed exports.

This paper examines the extent to which sectoral trends and fluctuations in the Australian economy can be understood using international trade theory and knowledge of key policy developments. It suggests they are consistent with theory, but it also reveals several features that make Australia’s economy unusual. The most striking are the facts that (i) the agricultural sector’s share of GDP remained fairly constant rather than falling during 1860–1960 and even during the latest mining boom; and (ii) the farm sector continued to enjoy a strong comparative advantage despite periodic spurts of growth in mining exports.