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  • articleNo Access

    USING SOME RECENT TECHNIQUES FROM CHAOS THEORY TO ANALYZE TIME-SERIES IN ECOLOGY

    Extraction of the underlying dynamics of large biological systems is a crucial step to understanding their mechanisms and predicting their future behaviors. Some of the techniques developed in physics to analyze chaotical phenomena should be applied with caution when the data are short and noisy.

    In this paper, we compared the Eckmann-Ruelle Linearization (ERL) local prediction method, and Neural Network (NN), fitting of a global nonlinear function, in the context of population dynamics. Data were generated by a discrete model and subjected to measurement noise. Prediction errors were analyzed according to noise level and length of the observations, using the above two methods

    Where the noise level is high, ERL is more effective for prediction than NN. On the basis of these results, we proposed for short series of available observations, that additional data be generated by the Eckmann—Ruelle linearization method and these data be used as input for Neural Nets in order to obtain a global function for the observed dynamics. This gave more reliable results than when we apply the NN method directly .

    Two examples are given, in ecology and epidemiology.

  • articleNo Access

    EYE ON CHINA

      Genetic mechanism behind aging rate uncovered.

      China launches survey of endangered porpoises in Yangtze River.

      Academic institutes and companies join forces to boost precision nutrition research.

      Gigantic DNA database to be built in Nanjing.

      Home test kit for cervical screening developed by BGI.

      Chinese HPV vaccine gets permission for clinical testing.

      Ineffective baby vaccines by two companies recalled.

      Robot scores high result on national doctor qualification test.

      Head transplant ‘never’ to be allowed.

      China ranks second in Global Science Innovation.

      Veolia to support Danone Nutricia Wuxi plant in China.

      Chinese drug delivery devices market to reach USD638.4 million by 2023.

    • articleNo Access

      ON TWO-DIMENSIONAL WHOOPING COUGH DYNAMICS OF CONVECTION TYPE

      Analyzes has been carried out for the two-dimensional whooping cough model. The solution of the arising nonlinear initial/boundary value problem is computed by a homotopy analysis method (HAM). Convergence of the derived solution is highlighted. The plotted graphs show great confidence into the used methodology of solution.

    • articleOpen Access

      The Establishment of an Emergency Management and Epidemiological Surveillance System in Hospital to Combat Pertussis

      The pertussis resurgence has currently become a global public health concern. The widespread vaccination of pertussis vaccine will inevitably lead to changes in the transmission pattern, epidemiological characteristics, and clinical manifestations of pertussis while reducing the overall incidence level. At present, there is no unified pertussis surveillance program across countries, and different surveillance and monitoring approaches are used in different regions, and the reported incidence levels and epidemiological characteristics vary greatly. The integration of emergency management and epidemiological research is essential in the combating of pertussis. Emergency management provides the rapid response necessary to mitigate the impact of an outbreak, while epidemiological research provides the knowledge and understanding to guide effective control strategies. Researchers should take a consideration and discussion about the role of traditional Chinese medicine in this epidemic, as well as the treatment and prevention in the whole course of the disease. Besides, a model of emergency management and epidemiological surveillance system should be established and continuously improved in clinical to combat the pertussis outbreak. This paper aims to provide an epidemic control model of the emergency management procedure in hospital for references, so that the clinical practitioners and healthcare workers may be better prepared and well-respond to a next epidemic.