North Korean Nuclear Weapon and Reunification of the Korean Peninsula

The following sections are included:

• Contents
• About the Author
• Preface

The following sections are included:

• North Korea’s preparations for nuclear development dating back to the 1950s
• Kim Il-sung recognizes the psychological fear of nuclear attacks and necessity of nuclear development
• The Cold War in East Asia in the 1960s and North Korea’s response
• From 1950s to 1990s, North Korea had focused on introducing and exploiting nuclear technology from Japan and the Soviet Union
• The first nuclear crisis in 1993 and the death of Kim Il-sung
• 2000: Geneva Agreement and North Korea LWR project
• The six-party talks, the September 19 Joint Statement and the first nuclear test (2003–2007)
• Second nuclear test and declaration of enriched uranium (2008)
• Obama administration’s “strategic patience” and North Korea’s third nuclear test
• Accelerated nuclear development in 2012 by Kim Jong-un: Satellite launches and fourth, fifth, and sixth nuclear tests
• Differences between North Korea and Iran’s nuclear negotiations

The following sections are included:

• Technological path toward nuclear proliferation
• North Korea’s motivations for a nuclear program
• Economic demand
• Security demand

The following sections are included:

• Evaluation of North Korean nuclear test and missile launch, and its intentions
• The UN Resolution 2270: A stern message to North Korea
• New Cold War in Northeast Asia: China, Russia, North Korea versus US, Japan, South Korea
• US versus North Korea: Denuclearization and peace agreement
• Cash flow into North Korea: China
• Cash flow into North Korea: Kaesong Industrial Park
• Cash flow into North Korea: Overseas workers
• Cash flow into North Korea: Others

The following sections are included:

• North Korea claimed success in testing a hydrogen bomb
• North Korean nuclear and security situation in Northeast Asia: Crisis and cooperation
• Evaluation of the Trump administration’s Korean Peninsula policy prior to the sixth nuclear test
• The theoretical background of the Trump administration’s foreign policy
• Prospects on the changes of the US policy toward Korean Peninsula

The following sections are included:

• How do the negotiations between the North and the US leaders work: Who is the real winner?
• The existential fear of war that Trump experienced
• The incarnation of anomaly and makeshift
• More practical to accept reality than to break the summit
• Betting on the principle of not retreating from the core interest

The following sections are included:

• Nuclear disarmament is a joint work of human desire and financial aid
• Consequences of “condominium alliance”, one of the pragmatic alliance types
• First financial backer for denuclearization is Inter-Korean Cooperation Fund
• Lack of investment, not a shortage of money
• The maximum price for denuclearization is US$200 billion for a decade?

The following sections are included:

• The 21st century is the era of Asia
• Major issues in East Asia: Cooperation and conflict
• The trends of new Cold War in Northeast Asia: China, Russia, North Korea versus US, Japan, South Korea
• US versus China and North Korea: Peace agreement
• Current situation and prospects of multilateral security cooperation mechanism in Northeast Asia
• Trilateral deterioration in the face of competing nationalism

The following section is included:

• Concept of contingency in North Korea

The following section is included:

• Feasible scenarios for unification

The following sections are included:

• Notes
• References
• Index