Studies on the Singapore Economy

Though there are several books on the Singapore economy, none have focused on the time series-based investigations. This book tries to address that gap and attempts to add to what we know from studies in the descriptive tradition. It is a compendium of twenty of the author's academic studies on the Singapore economy which have appeared previously as journal papers, book chapters, and feature articles. The papers share a common methodology of social scientific enquiry viz., time series econometrics, and are divided into three parts: macroeconomy, business cycles and forecasting. Each part brings together empirical essays that deal with particular aspects of these related fields. The book will be of interest to economists, policy-makers and students seeking a quantitatively informed understanding of the Singapore economy.

• Macroeconomy:
  • Foreign Direct Investment in the Manufacturing Sector in Singapore
  • Singapore's Changing Economic Model
  • The Aggregate Consumption Puzzle in Singapore
  • Impact of a Foreign Demand Shock on the Singapore Economy — Perspectives from Two Macroeconometric Models
  • Inflation, Exchange Rate and the Singapore Economy: A Policy Simulation
  • ASEAN Trade Cooperation: Singapore's Dilemma
  • Prospects for Enhanced Exchange Rate Cooperation in East Asia: Some Preliminary Findings from Generalized PPP Theory
• Business Cycles:
  • Business Cycles in Singapore: Stylized Facts for a Small Open Economy
  • Sources of Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Singapore: Evidence from a Structural VAR Model
  • Singapore Business Cycles: A Supply-Side Analysis
  • Analysing and Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore
  • Sectoral, Industry and Employment Business Cycles in Singapore
  • Trade Cycles in a Re-export Economy: The Case of Singapore
• Forecasting:
  • Economic Forecasting in Singapore
  • Assessing the Performance of Professional Forecasters
  • Forecasting at the Econometric Studies Unit
  • Revisiting SARS: Impact on the Singapore Economy
  • A Leading Economic Index for Monitoring the Singapore Economy
  • Economic Leading Indicators for Tracking Singapore's Growth Cycle
  • Using Leading Indicators to Forecast the Singapore Electronics Industry